How is devaluation of the currency supposed to cure an economy’s balance of payments current account deficit? Is it likely to succeed? Give reasons to support your answer.

How is devaluation of the currency supposed to cure an economy’s balance of payments current account deficit? Is it likely to succeed? Give reasons to support your answer.

Answer

  • When the demand for export is price elastic such that a fall in their prices lead to greater increase in quantity demanded abroad and hence lading to increase in foreign exchange
  • When the demand for imports is price elastic such that when the currency is devalued, the prices of imports increase discouraging importation
  • When the supply of exports is highly price elastic such that when demand for them increase, the supply should follow immediately to avoid shortages
  • There should be no restrictions put on country’s export.
  • When other countries do no devalue their currencies
  • When the devaluating country is not facing inflation
  • There must enough to export and leave enough for domestic market
  • When the currency in which exports are priced remains stable

Benefits of currency devaluations include

  • It stimulates demand for export and increase foreign exchange earnings.
  • It discourages import because it makes them expensive protecting infant domestic industries
  • It reduces imported inflation
  • It is a way or retaliation by one country against the other whose devaluation might have affected its economy.
  • It corrects balance of payment deficits because it reduces the volume of imports and increases the volume of exports thereby increasing export earnings.
  • It promotes self-reliance since it decreases demand for foreign commodities and encourages consumption of local goods.
  • It reduces export unemployment since it makes exports cheaper, increase their demand which increases on investment.
  • It enables a country to access financial assistance from IMF and World Bank because devaluation is one of the conditions.
  • It motivates farmers since devaluation increase agricultural produce
  • It restricts capital outflow as importation is discouraged.

Limitation of devaluation

  • It causes retaliation by other countries that would have been affected by devaluation of one country.
  • It limits the market for country’s exports especially when other countries also devalue their currencies.
  • It may worsen imported inflation especially when the demand for imports is price inelastic.
  • It causes smuggling as nationals will try to earn high value foreign currencies which increase per capita outflow.
  • Balance of payments problem worsens in case of inelastic demand for imports by devaluating country.
  • It increases the value of foreign debts because foreign currency becomes expensive.
  • It leads to corruption in the civil service as they hoard foreign currencies so that they get higher profits in future when devaluation occurs.
  • Cheaper substitutes commodities are developed especially in developed countries causing failure of devaluation process.
  • LDCs tend to have insufficient import substitutes making importation inevitable

The policy of devaluation fails when the devaluing country is not a major produce/supplier of export commodities in questions.

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